Common Sense GaySunday, October 25, 2026
Where's all this Democratic enthusiasm? Check the scoreboard
The headlines say Democrats are fired up and Republicans aren't showing up. The early vote numbers say Republicans are gaining in most of the states that matter, and the Election Day vote hasn't even been cast yet.
Saturday, October 24, 2026
Texas isn't flipping because of primary voter math
The hottest take on X this week says Democratic primary voters are swamping the Texas early vote. Here's why counting primary voters tells you a lot less than it looks like, and what the better model says.
Monday, October 19, 2026
Texas, early voting is open. Here's where to go.
Early voting in Texas opened this morning and runs through Friday, October 30. Here's what's on the ballot, what to bring, and how to find the closest place to vote in about 30 seconds.
Sunday, October 18, 2026
Four days in a row, and Texas votes tomorrow
The Democratic early vote lead shrank for the fourth straight day, Arizona and Nevada tightened, and Texas opens early voting Monday morning. Here's where it stands and what you can do about it.
Friday, October 16, 2026
The gap closed again, but North Carolina needs to wake up
Almost a million more early ballots came in overnight and the Democratic lead in the hard counts shrank again. But North Carolina's first day of in-person voting should worry every Republican in the state.
Thursday, October 15, 2026
Georgia showed up, Michigan is a coin flip, and the gap is closing
Georgia went from 5,538 early votes to almost 381,000 in one pull. Michigan's early vote gap is down to about half a point. Here's what the numbers actually say.
Thursday, October 15, 2026
Why I built this site, and why you need to vote early
My research kept disappearing into 60-second videos, so now the receipts have a home. First up: early voting, because that's how we won in 2024.